[Iefac.list] Leaderboard for BFCom2018 Qualifying Match

[Tao Hong]

Dear colleagues,

81 teams from 26 countries joined BigDEAL Forecasting Competition 2018.
After the qualifying match, 16 teams were advanced to the final match. The
leaderboard is here:
http://blog.drhongtao.com/2018/11/leaderboard-for-bfcom2018-qualifying-match.html

The qualifying match problem is similar to the load forecasting track of
GEFCom2012, the first energy forecasting competition sponsored by IEEE PES.
After 6 years of research, the load forecasting practice and methodologies
have been advanced significantly. For more information about the
competition and its follow-up webinars featuring the winning teams and
methodologies, please stay tuned to this FAQ page:
http://blog.drhongtao.com/2018/10/faq-for-bfcom2018-qualifying-match.html

Regards,
Tao
www.drhongtao.com


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Leaderboard for BFCom2018 Qualifying Match!!!

Posted: 06 Nov 2018 10:05 AM PST
The forecast submission due date for Qualifying Match of BigDEAL
Forecasting Competition 2018 was Nov 4, 2018. Out of 81 teams who
registered the competition, 39 teams successfully submitted their forecasts
by the due date. 10 teams will be advanced to the final match together with
my Energy Analytics class of 2018 including 5 master and PhD students plus
the teaching assistant Masoud Sobhani.

Two methods are used to calculate the MAPE of the forecasts. The first one
is the direct calculation of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) based on
the raw forecast submitted by each team, which was originally announced The
other is based on bias-adjusted forecast, which is calculated by dividing
the hourly load forecast by the coincident monthly energy, and then
multiplying it by the actual monthly energy of that month. For each
measure, the MAPE of the last ranked in-class student is used as the
qualifying bar. A team outperforming either bar can be advanced to the
final match.

The figure below shows the leaderboard for BFCom2018 Qualifying Match. The
green highlighted ones are in-class students, while the qualifying bar for
each measure is in bold. The teams above the red line are the finalists.
The "Ranking (BOTH)" column lists the rankings based on the sum of two
rankings from both measures.

<https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-p8MPaCFcH6E/W-HWwI_bN8I/AAAAAAAADYE/BaP1QuCmKKIo3YzGEM_u0N2U21ELDHDpgCLcBGAs/s1600/BFCom2018%2BQualifying%2BMatch%2BRanking.png>
BigDEAL Forecasting Competition 2018 - Qualifying Match Leaderboard
Congratulations to the BFCom2018 finalists! A tougher problem is waiting
for them in the final match :)
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