[Iefac.list] Fwd: BigDEAL Forecasting Competition - Spring 2016

[Tao Hong]

Re-submit due to the loss of the previous email...


---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Tao Hong <hongtao01 at gmail.com>
Date: Tue, Mar 8, 2016 at 9:58 AM
Subject: BigDEAL Forecasting Competition - Spring 2016
To: iefac.list at mailhost.ces.clemson.edu


Dear Colleagues,

Please help distribute the message below to the students and scholars who
are interested in forecasting.

Regards,
Tao
www.drhongtao.com

Begin forwarded message:



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BigDEAL Forecasting Competition - Spring 2016
<http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/EnergyForecasting/~3/C4f80f5J3H4/bigdeal-forecasting-competition-spring-2016.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email>

Posted: 07 Mar 2016 07:42 AM PST
I organized two in-class competitions last semester for my Energy Analytics
<http://www.drhongtao.com/courses/energy-analytics> course, one on short
term load forecasting
<http://blog.drhongtao.com/2015/09/fall-2015-in-class-short-term-load-forecasting-competition.html>,
and the other on probabilistic load forecasting
<http://blog.drhongtao.com/2015/10/fall-2015-in-class-probabilistic-load-forecasting-competition.html>.
The competitions were very well received by my students and the external
participants. The probabilistic forecasting competition generated a nice
article <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207016000091>
for the International Journal of Forecasting.

I'm teaching another forecasting class, Technological Forecasting and
Decision Making
<http://www.drhongtao.com/courses/technological-forecasting-and-decision-making>,
this semester at UNC Charlotte. The course is at the same level as the
Energy Analytics one. While the Energy Analytics course covers on various
forecasting problems in the energy industry, this technological forecasting
course covers various forecasting techniques without a specific focus on
any industry. The course outline is available HERE
<http://www.drhongtao.com/courses/technological-forecasting-and-decision-making>
.

I would like to open one of the exams to the external participants. I also
plan to do so for my other forecasting-related courses going forward. Since
I will leverage the help from BigDEAL members to run the show, I'm branding
these activities as the BigDEAL Forecasting Competitions.

Here are the rules for this one:

   - The competition will start on 3/24/2016, and end on 4/6/2016.
   - The exam is individual effort. Each student will form a single-person
   team. No offline collaboration is allowed.
   - External participants may form multi-person teams with the team
   members identified during the registration process.
   - The competition topic will be on point forecasting. (At this stage, I
   haven't decided the exact problem to release yet.)
   - Incremental data will be released during the competition.
   - A report documenting how the models have been evolving is required to
   be eligible on the final leaderboard.

Interested? Register HERE <http://goo.gl/forms/jWqq5DQ7tG> by 3/22/2016.
(If you don't have access to Google Form, you can email me directly to
register.)
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